PREDICTIVE VALUE FOR PRETERM BIRTH BASED ON CERVICAL MORPHOLOGICAL CHANGES AT HANOI OBSTETRICS AND GYNECOLOGY HOSPITAL

Trọng Hưng Mai 1,2, , Quang Hòa Lê 1
1 Hanoi Obstetrics and Pediatrics Hospital
2 University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Vietnam National University, Hanoi

Main Article Content

Abstract

Objective: To describe the correlation between cervical morphological changes assessed by transvaginal ultrasound and the risk of preterm birth in pregnant women. Method: A prospective descriptive study was conducted on 182 pregnant women at high risk of preterm birth (history of preterm birth, late miscarriage, or short cervix < 25 mm) from June 2024 to August 2025 at Hanoi Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital. A total of 1,227 transvaginal ultrasound examinations were performed periodically from 16 to 34 weeks of gestation. The assessed parameters included cervical length, internal os morphology (T-, Y-, V-, and U-shaped), functional cervical length, and internal os dilation. Statistical analyses were performed to determine the correlation between cervical morphological changes and the risk of preterm birth. Results: Among the 182 high-risk pregnant women, the observed preterm birth rate was 18.1%. Pregnant women with cervical morphological changes during pregnancy had an 8.58-fold higher risk of preterm birth compared with those without morphological changes. In the group without cervical morphological changes, the regression equation was: y = 34.553 + 0.027x + 0.101z, with a correlation coefficient R = 0.319. In the group with cervical morphological changes, the regression model was: y = 19.602 + 0.345x + 0.116z + 0.143t − 0.049u, with a correlation coefficient R = 0.55 (where y is gestational age at delivery, x is gestational age at ultrasound, z is cervical length, t is external cervical length, and u is internal os size). Conclusion: Cervical morphological changes are a high-value independent prognostic factor for the risk of preterm birth. The regression model in the group with cervical morphological changes demonstrated a stronger correlation than that in the group without morphological changes.

Article Details

References

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