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Date Published: 27/04/2023
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.51298/vmj.v525i2.5198
Issue
Vol. 525 No. 2 (2023)
Section
Các bài báo
How to Cite
Ong , T. D. ., Nguyễn, T. V. ., Đỗ, T. M. ., Phùng , L. T. ., & Nguyễn, T. V. . (2023). SYSTEMATIC REVIEW ON MODELS FORCASTING HOSPITAL’S RESOURCES NEEDS IN RESPONSE TO COVID-19 PANDEMIC. Vietnam Medical Journal, 525(2). https://doi.org/10.51298/vmj.v525i2.5198

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW ON MODELS FORCASTING HOSPITAL’S RESOURCES NEEDS IN RESPONSE TO COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Thế Duệ Ong 1,, Tuấn Việt Nguyễn1, Trà My Đỗ1, Lâm Tới Phùng 1, Thế Vinh Nguyễn1
1 Health Strategy And Policy Institute

Main Article Content

Abstract

Objective: To review available models for forecasting hospital resource needs in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: A systematic review was performed on Pubmed, EMBASE and Google Scholar databases, in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. Results: The study selected 7 eligible forecasting models for analysis. In which, 5 models were built by independent research groups, 1 model was built by the US Centers for Disease Control, and 1 model was built by the World Health Organization (WHO). Most models only forecast the hospital's COVID-19 response capacity in terms of hospital beds (both conventional and intensive care) and ventilators, but not in terms of hospital health workforce. Only the WHO model can forecast the types and quantity of health workforce needed in specific stage of COVID-19 pandemic as well as for specific level of severity. Conclusion: The WHO model shows that it is suitable for Vietnamese context and can be used to forecast health workforce needs for COVID-19 treatment in Vietnam.

Article Details

Keywords

COVID-19, model, forecast, health workforce

References

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